Day8 The common notion that workers are generally apathetic about management issues is false，or at least outdated

The following appeared in the editorial section of a corporate newsletter：

“The common notion that workers are generally apathetic about management issues is false，or at least outdated：a recently published survey indicates that 79 percent of the nearly 1，200 workers who responded to survey questionnaires expressed a high level of interest in the topics of corporate restructuring and redesign of benefits programs.”

Discuss how well reasoned you find this argument.In your discussion be sure to analyze the line of reasoning and the use of evidence in the argument.For example，you may need to consider what questionable assumptions underlie the thinking and what alternative explanations or counterexamples might weaken the conclusion.You can also discuss what sort of evidence would strengthen or refute the argument，what changes in the argument would make it more logically sound，and what，if anything，would help you better evaluate its conclusion.

文勇五问：

（1）本题中，事实是什么？结论是什么？“a recently published survey indicates that 79 percent of the nearly 1，200 workers who responded to survey questionnaires expressed a high level of interest in the topics of corporate restructuring and redesign of benefits programs.”是事实，“The common notion that workers are generally apathetic about management issues is false，or at least outdated.”是结论，值得反驳吗？这是一个与调查研究相关的题目，请大家思考一下，什么样的调查研究是好的调查研究？它对样本量、样本的选择、样本的状态以及最终的结论有什么样的要求？

（2）公司总员工数量是多少？1200名员工的样本量是否足够？有没有可能员工总数量是20000，甚至更多？这样的话，调查1200名员工，是否具有代表性？

（3）回答问卷的员工都属于哪些部门？是如何筛选的？他们能否代表所有员工？

（4）79%之外的人是怎么认为的？这会影响结论吗？本题是典型的大数谬误。

（5）员工关注公司重组和福利待遇就一定意味着他们关注公司管理吗？公司重组和福利待遇能代表公司管理吗？是否可能有其他原因导致员工关注公司重组和福利待遇？例如与他们自身的利益密切相关的其他方面的事务。

写一写，练一练